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Despite dashed hopes of early rate cuts, growth stocks like Nvidia continue to make new highs. "And here we are today: we've got Apple at multi-trillion dollars, Microsoft at multi-trillion dollars, Nvidia at multi-trillion dollars, and Google at over a trillion dollars." Snowflake (SNOW) helps businesses wrangle their data and build models from that data for multiple purposes, including AI. GitLab (GTLB) is an open-code platform with over a million paid users and programmers who can use AI tools to help with coding. Still, they collect customer data, and they help companies talk to their customers in a relevant and direct manner.
Persons: Jonathan Curtis, Franklin Templeton, Curtis, hadn't, ChatGPT, there's Organizations: Nvidia, Franklin Templeton Institute Global Investment Management Survey, Business, Franklin Equity Group, Apple, Microsoft, Google, Cisco, Meta, Semiconductor, Power Systems, AMD, Arista Networks
Expect four rate cuts in 2024 that will bring the federal funds rate to 4.30% by year-end, according to the Franklin Templeton Institute Global Investment Management Survey, which compiles the views of the firm's 300 senior investment professionals who work across equities, fixed income, and alternatives. That's still more cuts than the Federal Open Market Committee projects in its dot plot: three reductions and a fed funds rate of 4.63% by year-end. Stephen Dover, chief market strategist and the head of the Franklin Templeton Institute, expects those rate cuts to begin closer to June or July and be 25 basis points each. For now, Dover pointed to a strong US economy, with solid jobs and GDP growth, as working against the possibility of earlier rate cuts. This will be another sticky point that the central bank will likely consider and could impact when cuts happen, he said.
Persons: Stephen Dover, Dover, there's Organizations: Franklin Templeton Institute Global Investment Management Survey, Federal, Franklin Templeton Institute
Investors are pricing in a best-case outcome where earnings rise and inflation returns to normal in a continued economic expansion. “It’s a tough needle to thread,” said Steve Sosnick, the chief strategist at Interactive Brokers. “And that pretty much pulls forward almost all the returns, in our minds, for 2024.”AdvertisementCrit Thomas, a global market strategist at Touchstone Investments, has the same concern. “And so at 21x earnings, there’s very little margin for error here.”AdvertisementFourth-quarter earnings mostly met measured expectations , as did forward guidance. Clark Bellin, the chief investment officer at Bellwether Wealth, said he’s less worried about valuations broadly and is more interested in seeing which sectors look cheap.
Persons: , , Solita Marcelli, , Sameer Samana, Steve Sosnick, It’s, Steven Wieting, “ We’ve, Crit Thomas, “ I’m, ” Thomas, We’re, Chris Galipeau, ” Galipeau, ” Sosnick, we’ve, Liz Ann Sonders, Schwab, ” Sonders, there’s, Clark Bellin, he’s, ” Bellin, you’re, Stocks, Samana, won’t, Thomas, Wieting, Bellin, “ They’ve, they’re Organizations: Service, Business, UBS Global Wealth Management, Federal Reserve, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment Institute, Interactive, Citi Global Wealth’s, Touchstone Investments, Franklin Templeton Institute, Citi Global Wealth, Bellwether Wealth Locations: Wells Fargo, Samana, ” Samana, Galipeau
Herald van der Linde, HSBC's head of equity strategy for Asia Pacific, points out that travel and gaming stocks have already benefited. That has led investors to hunt for sectors and companies with depressed valuations outside China. Reuters GraphicsMSCI China Vs MSCI Asean vs MSCI Asia excluding JapanGLOBAL PUSH OR CHINA PULL? After a torrid 2022, investors have been betting that a swift recovery in China's economy will somewhat cushion the impact of a global slowdown and possible recession. "China and its reopening trade, on the other hand, are in early stages and may be the additional tailwind for Asian equities later this year."
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